>> i see it going off to 200, and i think democrats especially from new jersey, new york, connecticut, that would be fine with them and it's just a matter of damage control. >> and will republicans have to pay in any way for something that has no spending cuts in it. >> ideally, a lot of these guys would like to wait until january so they can say we voted for a tax cut and the new status quo is where all of the taxes have gone up. i'm sure there will be primary challenges. >> what do you think? >> first of all, let me be clear. i think 50/50 at best for exactly the reason you cited. i can't imagine that reid and mcconnell are having a happy discussion right now, so there will be serious differences there. for example, if mcconnell insists on keeping the estate tax parameters where they are instead of going where the president is, that completely seals the deal and that's one piece. >> michelle, you've made that point throughout the show, and i partially agree with you, but i will tell you this. right now everybody in this town is focused on taxes and preventing 98% of households from